Fivethirtyeights forecast for the florida senate race between marco rubio and patrick. The 2016 united states presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on tuesday, november 8, 2016. Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 united states presidential. Realclearpolitics election 2016 presidential polls. In our final battleground map of the 2016 presidential race, hillary clinton holds a substantial lead over donald trump with one day before election day. Senator from virginia tim kaine, despite losing the popular vote. This page displays the current 270towin polling average for each state.
Below, see a sampling of 2016 presidential general election polls. Cbs newsnew york times poll oct 28 nov 1, 2016 personal financial situation how would you rate your own personal financial situation. Using current statelevel polls, this mock presidential election simulator will project one possible outcome of the 2016 election. Conduct a simulated 2016 presidential election in just 15 seconds. Politicos live 2016 maryland election results and maps by state, county and district.
National polls for the 2016 presidential election between hillary clinton and donald trump. Poll results aggregated from huffpost pollster, realclearpolitics, polling firms and news reports. Nov 07, 2016 in our final battleground map of the 2016 presidential race, hillary clinton holds a substantial lead over donald trump with one day before election day. Both reached record levels of unpopularity for presidential candidates, with sharp divisions on their fitness for office on items such as.
Survey of 800 likely voters virginia statewide survey presidential poll 2016 sep. Sanders, however, loses a general election against trump by 1 point in the battleground, matching hillary clintons performance in 2016. United states presidential election polls 2016 statista. Poll headlines interactive 2016 presidential map allows you to modify the winner of the 2016 swing states to view several possible outcomes for the 2016 general election. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 united states presidential election. Read headlines covering the presidential debates, polls, results, and more. This statistic shows the latest republican polls on the caucuses and primaries that are to be held on march 5, 2016. The latest political polls collected by fivethirtyeight. Election 2016 national exit poll results and analysis abc news. Home 2020 election results election info weblog forum wiki search email login site info store atlas election polls note. Presidential election poll was created using pictures, not every voter knows the candidates by name but a picture of the candidate makes it easier to recognise the person and combined with their name it becomes even easier for nonamericans to vote and give their opinion. The monmouth university poll was sponsored and conducted by the monmouth university polling institute from august 26 to 29, 2016 with a random sample of 402 likely pennsylvania voters. Timeline of the 2016 united states presidential election. The republican ticket of businessman donald trump and indiana governor mike pence defeated the democratic ticket of former secretary of state hillary clinton and u.
There are several premium features included in the election 2016 app. For readers interested in polls that were conducted earlier in the 2016 cycle, please see ballotpedia s coverage of 2016 presidential primary election and hypothetical polls. Below are the averages in crucial states with a new poll in the past month and at least three polls in 2016. National and state files containing codes for voting districts are available for download from the u. Latest alabama polls us election 2016 poll tracker. The forthcoming 2016 presidential election depends on handful of vital swing states that are necessary to win. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2016 presidential election poll is used.
When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since july 2016, we use cook political report ratings to estimate where the race stands. A mock 2016 presidential election poll taken midoctober by over 100,000 teens in the united states on after school app. As we approach election day, well be keeping you uptodate on the latest poll numbers and where the candidates stand. This dataset is a collection of state and national polls conducted from november 2015november 2016 on the 2016 presidential election. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote. There are several premium features included in the election 2016 app which can make it a. The ft poll tracker is based on real clear politics rcp data and checks for new polls at least once an hour as polls are added by rcp staff. The ft poll tracker is based on real clear politics rcp data and checks for new polls at least once an hour as polls are added by rcp staff the poll tracker is based on a fourway race, which includes democratic candidate hillary clinton, republican candidate donald trump, libertarian candidate gary johnson and green party. Oct 20, 2016 get the latest polling numbers in the 2016 race for the white house.
The 2016 presidential election was a jarring event for polling in the united states. Young americans can influence the direction of this country, but less than half of young voters. Whether you work at a poll during election day or volunteer at a campaign, make a plan to get involved. Presidential election, 2016general election polls ballotpedia.
To make our site and information even more accessible, we have put some time and effort into creating a 2016 presidential election mobile app which covers all the debates, news, and primary information at the palm of your hand. Only 45 percent of voters pdf, download adobe reader under the age of 30 voted in the 2012 presidential election. Nbcs final battleground map shows clinton with a significant. Interviews were conducted by a live caller in english, including 351 drawn from a list of registered voters 200 landline 151 cell phone and a random digit. Polling data for the 2016 us presidential election.
In a general election against trump, biden wins by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent a 5point swing from 2016 in the battleground. In 2016, 12 states and two congressional districts were key to deciding the outcome of the presidential election between hillary clinton and donald trump. Since we dont have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories. Nov 09, 2016 election 2016 national exit poll results and analysis. Donald trumps victory in the 2016 presidential election came as a shock to pollsters, political analysts.
Election 2016 national exit poll results and analysis. Democratic national polls iowa, new hampshire nevada, south carolina. The ft poll tracker is based on real clear politics rcp data and checks for new polls at least once an hour as polls are added by rcp staff the poll tracker is based on a fourway race, which includes democratic candidate hillary clinton, republican candidate donald trump, libertarian candidate gary johnson and green party candidate jill stein. Mar 03, 2016 this statistic shows the latest republican polls on the caucuses and primaries that are to be held on march 5, 2016. Exit polls of the 2016 presidential elections in the united states on. An evaluation of the 2016 election polls in the united states. Check the polling averages for the election, refreshed daily. Pdf the 2016 presidential election was a jarring event for polling in the united states. Us presidential elections 2016 us elections 2016 news. Both reached record levels of unpopularity for presidential candidates, with sharp divisions on. Election 2016 presidential primary, caucus, and convention home presidential candidates states alphabetically events chronologically major events chronologically poll closing times chronologically poll closing times alphabetically democratic first determining step chronologically. The opinion data also show that russians believe the u. If you prefer, you can also use the 2016 electoral map or the 2018 midterm election vote as the starting point for your own electoral forecast.
National polls 2016 election forecast fivethirtyeight. Introduction election 2016 research guides at georgia. Presidential election results and other types of election data. Includes 2016 races for president, senate, house, governor and key ballot measures. Voting districts were not provided by every state and are therefore not available for every state. Leading up to the election, three types of information widely discussed in the news media indicated that democratic nominee hillary clinton was likely to win. Election administration and voting survey eavs this is the biennial election administration and voting survey eavs which collects statebystate data on the administration of federal elections. Nov 09, 2016 polling data for the 2016 us presidential election. He also wins by 5 points when third party voters are asked to choose. Data on the raw and weighted poll results by state, date, pollster, and pollster ratings are included. Donald trumps victory in the 2016 presidential election came as a shock to pollsters, political analysts, reporters, and pundits, including those inside trumps own campaign jacobs and house 2016. Find the latest presidential election news stories, photos and videos on.
Full results by state for the 2016 presidential election and electoral vote count. This article is a collection of statewide polls for the 2016 united states presidential election. The election was the 58th quadrennial and most recent united states presidential election, held on november 8, 2016. United states presidential election polls 2016 get the report with graphs and tables on. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between.
Pdf an evaluation of the 2016 election polls in the united states. See the latest estimates and poll results at huffpost pollster. Evaluation of the 2016 election polls in the united states. The following is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the united states presidential election of 2016. Polls conducted after june 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that fivethirtyeight collected them. Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world. Cbs newsnew york times poll oct 28 nov 1, 2016 personal financial situation. The average methodology is summarized below the table. Preelection polls fueled highprofile predictions that hillary clintons likelihood of winning the presidency. Hillary clinton emerges from her partys convention in philadelphia with a restored lead over donald trump, having earned a 7point convention bounce, according to a new cnnorc poll. To view and download pdfs, click on file and it will open in the window below. Poll headlines 2016 presidential polls, latest political.
Presidential battleground states, 2016 see also trump wins white house as blue wall crumbles. Aug 01, 2016 hillary clinton emerges from her partys convention in philadelphia with a restored lead over donald trump, having earned a 7point convention bounce, according to a new cnnorc poll. The two major party candidates were chosen at the democratic national convention and republican national convention in july 2016 donald trump won the general election of tuesday, november 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college. Presidential election 2016 straw polls 26 september 2015 values voter summit straw poll washington, dc. Oct 03, 2016 when we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since july 2016, we use cook political report ratings to estimate where the race stands. Data for 2016 were collected by edison research for the national election pool, a consortium of abc news, the associated press, cbsnews, cnn, fox news and nbc news. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 united states presidential. Hillary clinton tim kaine donald trump mike pence election years. Washington facing one of the most adversarial contests in recent history and daily coverage of the presidential election that dominates every form of mass media, 52 percent of american adults report that the 2016 election is a very or somewhat significant source of stress. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 united states. Latest election 2016 polls democratic nomination republican nomination early primary state polls general election matchups. The question has undoubtedly been prompted by the perception of polling failures in the 2016 presidential election. Nate silvers predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between hillary clinton and donald trump.
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